Monday, September 20, 2010

Game Changers

During this political year, in which Americans will elect the House of Representatives, one third of the Senate and many state officials, several important changes have been urged in our election process:

1. Switch to non-partisan primaries
The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel urged on September 15 that Wisconsin join California in making primaries for state offices and congress essentially non-partisan.
Under the present system, adopted in 1905 , each voter in the September primary selects a party and then votes for one candidate for each office seeking that party's nomination. (1) The nominees for each office then appear on the November ballot with their party designations; voters have the option of casting a single "straight ticket" vote for all nominees of a chosen party.
The trouble with this system is that is places partisanship above support for a particular candidate. For example, suppose that two Democrats (we'll call them Smith and Jones) and one Republican (Richards) seek a legislative seat in a heavily Democratic district. In the primary Smith gets 5,000 votes, Jones gets 4,890 and Richards gets 2,000. Even though Jones has much more support than Richards, Jones is eliminated and voters in November get to chose between Smith and Richards.
There is no way for moderate candidates to appeal to voters of both parties (or independents) at the primary stage; in the November general election the straight vote option makes the election of an independent or minor party candidate virtually impossible. Since district lines are drawn so as to minimize inter-party competition (by legislative leaders of both major parties), the winners tend to be stalwarts of their parties. This remains true even as polls indicate that most Americans are independents and hold both parties in low repute.
Instead, we should have the top two candidates in the primary advance to the general election, regardless of party. Candidates should have the option of including a message of up to five words under their name, which could be a party label or other identifying message (e.g. "Cut taxes" or "Not the White Man's Slavegirl"). This change would also mean eliminating the straight vote option, so that voters would actually have to consider the candidates in each contest rather than blindly backing one party.
Since the Wisconsin Constitution does not specify the primary format, this change could be made by law.

2. Let state legislatures select US Senators
The original US Constitution states that "The Senate of the United States shall be composed of two senators from each state chosen by the legislature thereof..." (2) But the Seventeenth Amendment, ratified in
1913, changed the latter clause to "elected by the people thereof..." Now leaders of the Tea Party movement have called for the repeal of the 17th Amendment, which would restore the right to select senators to the state legislatures. US Rep. Louis Gohmert (R, Texas) has introduced a bill in the House to do just that. In Idaho Tea Party candidate Raoul Labrador won a Republican congressional primary mainly on this issue. (3)
The Tea Party, founded less than two years ago (April 15, 2009), has had enormous impact on many Republican nominations. Republican Senators Bennett (Utah) and Murkowski (Alaska) have been ousted by Tea Party favorites; GOP officials have fallen to Tea Party challengers for senate nominations in Kentucky, Delaware and other states.
But most American voters do not find repeal of the 17th "their cup of tea." Popular election of senators was one of the major victories of the Progressive Movement of the early twentieth century, and most of us want the right to pick our senators ourselves rather than leave it to state legislators. Moreover, legislators and other political insiders would have a big advantage in winning senate seats for themselves.
Another problem is that a party that won legislative contests four and two years ago would control the selection of the next senator, even if the party had lost support. For example, if the Wisconsin legislature had the right to pick the next senator, the winner would certainly be a Democrat, since the party controls both houses of the state legislature. Even if the state were now overwhelmingly Republican, a Democrat would still hold the seat for the next six years.

Since the repeal of the 17th Amendment would require a Constitutional Amendment, that is not going to happen. The change in the Wisconsin Fall Primary, although only requiring a simple change in one statute, will not happen either, if only because legislators chosen through the present system are not likely to want to try their luck with a more competitive alternative.
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(1) Before 1905 party nominees were selected at conventions.

(2)Article I, Section 3, paragraph 1.

(3) The Revisionaries by Bradford Plumer, in the New Republic, Sept. 23, 2010, page 18.

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Thursday, February 14, 2008

All Eyes on Wisconsin!

Wisconsin voters will have a crucial voice in the selection of the nominees for President this Tuesday, February 19. Let's make it count!

Democrats: Obama More Impressive
Barack Obama, raised in a broken home, made his own way to Harvard Law School, the Illinois State Senate, and the US Senate. His charisma on the campaign trail rivals that of John Kennedy and Bill Clinton.
While Obama got where he is in spite of his last name (1), Hillary Clinton got where she is because of hers. (2) The daughter of a privileged two-parent family, her ticket to political prominence was marriage to a young man who would (with her considerable help) become Governor of Arkansas and President of the United States. The Democratic nomination for US Senator was virtually handed to her by retiring Senator Daniel P Moynihan of New York, where she had never previously lived.
Fearless Forecast: Obama will sweep the 1st, 2nd and 4th congressional districts and garner about half the vote in the other five, giving him Wisconsin and probably the nomination. If nominated, he may appeal to both women and Jewish voters by choosing Senator Diane Feinstein (3) of California as his running-mate.

Republicans: McCain an Easy Choice
As noted in our January 8 Glazerbeam, John McCain is the most qualified candidate of either party to lead America in the age of Islamic terrorism. His plan to establish permanent American military bases in Iraq is likely the best hope of maintaining stability in the Middle East, especially in view of Iranian ambitions. He has shown remarkable willingness to work with Democrats, who will probably dominate the Congress.
Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee has surprised most pundits by outlasting better known and better funded Republicans, such as Rudy Giuliani, Fred Thompson and Mitt Romney. Yet Huckabee is a deeply flawed candidate for two reasons: his zeal to Christianize America and his hare-brained scheme to replace the income tax with a sales tax. (4)
Texas Representative Ron Paul is still in contention, like the cartoon Road Runner who runs off a cliff and doesn't fall until he looks down. His outlandish views have been thoroughly repudiated in every primary and caucus so far, but he seems to have a hard core of 5-10% of Republican voters sticking with him.
Fearless Forecast: McCain will trounce Huckabee in Wisconsin and go on to win the nomination. Mitt Romney would be a logical choice for Vice President.
Ron Paul will probably run for President on the Libertarian (or other third-party) ticket, emphasizing opposition to illegal immigration. If he does so, he will draw enough votes away from McCain to sink the Republicans. Ross Perot sank the first President Bush this way in 1992, and Ralph Nader did the same to Al Gore in 2000. Third parties don't win, but they do count.
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(1) Obama doen't even use his middle-name, Hussein, perhaps because it reminds people of Sadam.

(2)Even her husband was not born with the name "Clinton". Born William Jefferson Blythe (after his deceased father), he took on the surname of his step-father Roger Clinton.

(3) Senator Feinstein converted to Conservative Judaism when she got married. She considers herself Jewish, but orthodox Jews would not.

(4) See the December 17, 2007, Glazerbeam entitled "New Tax, Anyone?"

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