Thursday, February 14, 2008

All Eyes on Wisconsin!

Wisconsin voters will have a crucial voice in the selection of the nominees for President this Tuesday, February 19. Let's make it count!

Democrats: Obama More Impressive
Barack Obama, raised in a broken home, made his own way to Harvard Law School, the Illinois State Senate, and the US Senate. His charisma on the campaign trail rivals that of John Kennedy and Bill Clinton.
While Obama got where he is in spite of his last name (1), Hillary Clinton got where she is because of hers. (2) The daughter of a privileged two-parent family, her ticket to political prominence was marriage to a young man who would (with her considerable help) become Governor of Arkansas and President of the United States. The Democratic nomination for US Senator was virtually handed to her by retiring Senator Daniel P Moynihan of New York, where she had never previously lived.
Fearless Forecast: Obama will sweep the 1st, 2nd and 4th congressional districts and garner about half the vote in the other five, giving him Wisconsin and probably the nomination. If nominated, he may appeal to both women and Jewish voters by choosing Senator Diane Feinstein (3) of California as his running-mate.

Republicans: McCain an Easy Choice
As noted in our January 8 Glazerbeam, John McCain is the most qualified candidate of either party to lead America in the age of Islamic terrorism. His plan to establish permanent American military bases in Iraq is likely the best hope of maintaining stability in the Middle East, especially in view of Iranian ambitions. He has shown remarkable willingness to work with Democrats, who will probably dominate the Congress.
Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee has surprised most pundits by outlasting better known and better funded Republicans, such as Rudy Giuliani, Fred Thompson and Mitt Romney. Yet Huckabee is a deeply flawed candidate for two reasons: his zeal to Christianize America and his hare-brained scheme to replace the income tax with a sales tax. (4)
Texas Representative Ron Paul is still in contention, like the cartoon Road Runner who runs off a cliff and doesn't fall until he looks down. His outlandish views have been thoroughly repudiated in every primary and caucus so far, but he seems to have a hard core of 5-10% of Republican voters sticking with him.
Fearless Forecast: McCain will trounce Huckabee in Wisconsin and go on to win the nomination. Mitt Romney would be a logical choice for Vice President.
Ron Paul will probably run for President on the Libertarian (or other third-party) ticket, emphasizing opposition to illegal immigration. If he does so, he will draw enough votes away from McCain to sink the Republicans. Ross Perot sank the first President Bush this way in 1992, and Ralph Nader did the same to Al Gore in 2000. Third parties don't win, but they do count.
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(1) Obama doen't even use his middle-name, Hussein, perhaps because it reminds people of Sadam.

(2)Even her husband was not born with the name "Clinton". Born William Jefferson Blythe (after his deceased father), he took on the surname of his step-father Roger Clinton.

(3) Senator Feinstein converted to Conservative Judaism when she got married. She considers herself Jewish, but orthodox Jews would not.

(4) See the December 17, 2007, Glazerbeam entitled "New Tax, Anyone?"

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